About parameters

[ypriverol]

Dear @JeroenKools:

First, thanks for this notebook, really useful. Im trying to use it with Cuban data. I came across these three parameters:

M = 0.25              # mitigation effectiveness under major lockdown
W = 0.50              # mitigation effectiveness under weak lockdown
N = 1.00              # mitigation effectiveness under normal conditions

How did you estimate these three parameters? Are they based on real data? Can they be estimated from the existing data in the country?

Thanks

[JeroenKools]

Hi @ypriverol,

Those values are mere guesstimates, except for 1.00 for normal conditions, which implies that the R0 is unchanged). I suppose we could look at the Chinese or South Korean data to see how effective their mitigation efforts were.

[ypriverol]

@JeroenKools:

I'm not a mathematician but will be good to have a value something like:

K=?   Assuming Korea Model
Ch=?  Assuming China Model

How we can estimate this?

[JeroenKools]

@ypriverol: See the latest commit. Thanks for the suggestion!

[ypriverol]

Thanks a lot. Playing with the new functionality.