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Missing International Mix data for 2021 onward #231

Open dt-woods opened 4 months ago

dt-woods commented 4 months ago

The CSV file, International_Electricity_Mix.csv does not include data past 2020, which crashes upon testing 2021 onward (see generate_canadian_mixes method in import_impacts.py).

looking-for-data

help-wanted

dt-woods commented 3 months ago

@m-jamieson

dt-woods commented 3 months ago

See here for 2023 Canadian electricity generation mixes.

Note: there is no 2022 CSV file!

dt-woods commented 3 months ago

I'm not sure I agree with the assumption that the Canada's Energy Future: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2050 - Open Government Portal includes historical data.

I downloaded four years (2019, 2020, 2021, and 2023) as linked above and looking at two regions (British Columbia and Quebec), the data for past years are not consistent.

This seems consistent with the data description, where the "current measures" scenario is still a model product:

EF2023 contains three scenarios. Two of these scenarios explore pathways where Canada achieves net-zero emissions by 2050. In the Global Net-zero Scenario, we assume Canada achieves net-zero emissions by 2050. We also assume the rest of the world reduces emissions enough to limit global warming to 1.5 Celsius (°C). In the Canada Net-zero Scenario, Canada also achieves net-zero emissions by 2050 but the rest of the world moves more slowly to reduce GHG emissions. The third scenario, the Current Measures Scenario, assumes limited action to reduce GHG emissions beyond measures in place today. In this scenario, we do not require our modeling results achieve net-zero GHG emissions in Canada by 2050. We also assume limited future global climate action.

An important property of the 2021 and 2023 datasets is that they go back to 2005, so we have backwards compatibility, even if the historical data changes. I think a reasonable approach would be to keep an updated version of this CSV and note that their future model is used for determining fuel technologies for a given year (even historical).

Comparing 2021 "Current Policies" to 2023 "Current Measures", it appears data prior to 2020 are the same. The 2019 and 2020 "Reference" cases do not appear to share historical values with one another or with the 2021 or 2023 scenarios.

electricity-generation-2019

2019

electricity-generation-2020

2020

electricity-generation-2021

2021

electricity-generation-2023

2023