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atcoder-companion
Atcoder Companion
https://chromewebstore.google.com/detail/atcoder-companion/bflhekmjlbpdlibcmojpikplaldgceec
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Accuracy issue in predicting the performance of bottom participants
#2
Open
conlacda
opened
3 months ago
conlacda
commented
3 months ago
Stat
Contest
predicted perf
correct perf
number of bottom users
delta
agc067
1778 (299.5)
1712 (rank: 309.5)
94
perf: 66 & rank: 10
abc367
64 (9640.5)
53 (rank: 9788 -> 9801)
1370
perf: 11 & rank: 148 -> 161
abc366
60 (9703)
50 (9834 -> 9847)
1371
perf: 10 & rank: 131 -> 144
abc365
48 (10003.5)
40 (10107 -> 10120)
977
perf: 8 & rank: 104 -> 117
abc364
59
49
abc363
60
49
abc362
47
39
abc361
54
45
abc360
70 (7540)
42 (7819 -> 7828)
707
perf: 28 & rank: 279
abc359
42
35
arc182
404 (2131)
337 (2204)
1480
perf: 67 & rank: 73
arc181
221 (2655.5)
183 (2735.5)
1317
perf: 38 & rank: 80
arc180
272
230
Observation
In ABC/ARC contests $$\frac{predicted perf}{correct perf} \approx \frac{6}{5}$$
Stat
Observation