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markjrieke / 2024-potus

repo for constructing a 2024 presidential election forecast
MIT License
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Explore use of gdp growth directly in FRED #9

Closed markjrieke closed 4 months ago

markjrieke commented 4 months ago

I've been mashing together GDP growth using a combination of CPI and GDP, but it may be better to just pull from the real GDP YOY growth table directly, which also goes back to 1947 and exactly matches BEA estimates.

markjrieke commented 4 months ago

So, after much exploring, I am unable to recreate BEA's results from FRED's data. There is likely something that I'm missing, but under the umbrella of being able to justify/backtrack input data, I'll keep with the current GDP estimations.