Deep reconstruction of strange attractors from time series

[mxochicale]

Deep reconstruction of strange attractors from time series William Gilpin Experimental measurements of physical systems often have a limited number of independent channels, causing essential dynamical variables to remain unobserved. However, many popular methods for unsupervised inference of latent dynamics from experimental data implicitly assume that the measurements have higher intrinsic dimensionality than the underlying system---making coordinate identification a dimensionality reduction problem. Here, we study the opposite limit, in which hidden governing coordinates must be inferred from only a low-dimensional time series of measurements. Inspired by classical techniques for studying the strange attractors of chaotic systems, we introduce a general embedding technique for time series, consisting of an autoencoder trained with a novel latent-space loss function. We show that our technique reconstructs the strange attractors of synthetic and real-world systems better than existing techniques, and that it creates consistent, predictive representations of even stochastic systems. We conclude by using our technique to discover dynamical attractors in diverse systems such as patient electrocardiograms, household electricity usage, and eruptions of the Old Faithful geyser---demonstrating diverse applications of our technique for exploratory data analysis. https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.05909 https://twitter.com/wgilpin0/status/1229466987073613826 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B3nVycUmshs