Italian regions vs. provinces for Trentino-AltoAdige

[ressel]

Italy consists of 20 regions (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regions_of_Italy) and 103 provinces (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Provinces_of_Italy).

populationData.tsv does contain data for the 20 regions.

But case data is available for only 19 of these regions. The one exception is Trentino-South Tyrol, where the case data for its two autonomous provinces P.A. Bolzano (South Tyrol) and P.A. Trento (Trentino) is provided. The case data for the region Trentino-South Tyrol (other name: Trentino-AltoAdige) is missing.

Currently you cannot fairly compare and verify simulation and empirical data for any of these regions or provinces.

I propose to add

1. case data for ITA-TrentinoAltoAdige
2. population data for ITA-South Tyrol and ITA-Trentino if possible (as these two stand out as the only two autonomous provinces).

This would allow for simulation and comparison with empirical data for this region on region- and province-level.

[nnoll]

I'm transferring this to the main repo as we are no longer going to keep this as submodule but rather just a directory within covid19_scenarios.

[rneher]

@ressel do you have population sizes and hospital data for these regions?

[ressel]

Here is what I found (two more lines for populationData.tsv):

name populationServed ageDistribution hospitalBeds ICUBeds hemisphere srcPopulation ITA-P.A. Bolzano 531178 Italy 1895 64 Northern Wikipedia ITA-P.A. Trento 541.098 Italy 2132 69 Northern Wikipedia

Population sources (31 dec 2018): https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/S%C3%BCdtirol https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trentino

Hospital beds (2016) http://www.europaregion.info/de/zahlen-europaregion.asp

ICU beds (from current numbers) https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19-Pandemie_in_Italien

In addition to this, the epidemic values for ITA-TrentionAltoAdige would have to be calculated as the sum of the values for 'ITA-P.A. Bolzano' and 'ITA-P.A. Trento'.

Hope that helps. Happy Easter!

[noleti]

@ressel I created https://github.com/neherlab/covid19_scenarios/pull/553, can you double-check if I am doing the right thing?

[ressel]

Looking good to me.

How about extracting a method for summation of empirical data?

[noleti]

@ressel Great idea, I added this now. This also saves some of the old code in the italy parser.

[ressel]

Hi Nils, I cannot find your changes in https://covid19-scenarios-git-feat-italyregions.covid19-scenarios.now.sh/ (no Scenario "ITA-P.A. Bolzano", no confirmed cases "ITA-TrentinoAltoAdige"). Wrong expectations? Cheers, Matthias

[noleti]

Thanks for checking. Things will only appear there if they are included in the generated src/assets/data/scenarios/scenarios.json, and I did not include that in the PR. Updating those main datastructures is done by @rneher and @nnoll , so I did not want to have them in the PR.

Unrelated to that, there was also a typo in the string when I introduced the function in utils. https://github.com/neherlab/covid19_scenarios/commit/ddfccead6cceed0fa401847620878d245b909ac5 fixed this.