weekly cases(data) vs weekly death (model)

[SYPclub]

Related

When i run some simulation it seems like the weekly cases(data) are similar to weekly death (model) instad of the weekly deaths cases (data) , am I the only how see that?

[ivan-aksamentov]

Hi @khomri12, I could not understand the issue.

Could you please provide some more details? What do you mean by "similar"?

Here it should be either "weekly deaths" or "weekly cases"

instad of the weekly deaths cases (data)

which one did you mean?

Do you simulate a particular country? It would help if you could upload your parameters JSON and/or a screenshot of the results plot.

Please note that our initial parameters are merely a starting point for the simulation of your own. We fit initial model parameters to the data, but we cannot guarantee that they are perfect for any of the hundreds of countries and regions we are modelling. If you have suggestions on improvements for a particular region, let us know.

[SYPclub]

Good evening What I mean is could I use the cumulative deaths as a cumulative cases to better understand the evolution of the disease, and please if you could share with me the mathematical equation virtues such parameters in the platform?

[ivan-aksamentov]

use the cumulative deaths as a cumulative cases

Sorry, I am not fully understanding here.

You can enable "cumulative deaths" and other lines on the plot by clicking on items in the legend section. Is this what you need?

mathematical equation virtues such parameters in the platform

About page contains a brief description of the algorithm: https://covid19-scenarios.org/about

and some more details are in the paper https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.05.20091363v2

Check also our page with frequently asked questions: https://covid19-scenarios.org/faq

Let me know if you need to know more than that.

[SYPclub]

Thank for clarification ! Are the effective reproduction value is what you have called In our paper B(t) transmission rate ? Can I said that Re(t) is R0*M(t)?

If it's not please if possible to provide the function used in

[rneher]

@khomri12 I am not sure I fully understand the question. the R0 is approximately given by the baseline ß(t) divided the mean time somebody is infectious. You can find more detail here:

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.05.20091363v2

[SYPclub]

Thank you clarification sir, What I mean is , the function (in the picture ) are it is the result of the function ß(t) ? I have challenge To understand this function in the graph.

[rneher]

there is a one-to-one relation between the function beta(t) and R(t).