search

quintel / etmoses

Online decision support tool to create local energy situations for neighbourhoods, cities and regions with a time resolution of 15 minutes created and maintained by Quintel – Not maintained
https://moses.energytransitionmodel.com
MIT License
11 stars 3 forks source link

# of households in ETM scenario does not correspond to # of units in LES #1551

Closed DorinevanderVlies closed 2 years ago

DorinevanderVlies commented 8 years ago

Situation

My ETM scenario has 495 households, but when exported to ETM-SA gives 564 units for household aggregated.

Question

I want to use 495 households in my LES, which is the actual situation. My quick fix question is: Is the total demand for electricity 495 774 kWh/year of 564 774 kWh/year? So, should I just change the # of units, of should I also change the demand?

The real question is where this difference comes from.

Details

This scenario has 495 households, both in present and in the future. image

When I export it to a LES the LES has 564 units for household aggregated. image.

The total number of buffers for hot water and space heating adds up to 471. This corresponds to the ETM scenario which has 4.8% CHP that is not exported to the LES.

ChaelKruip commented 8 years ago

The real question is where this difference comes from.

Can you have a look @grdw?

DorinevanderVlies commented 8 years ago

It might be helpful that even thought the number of residences is 495 the scaling seems to be 564.

image

ChaelKruip commented 8 years ago

@grdw @DorinevanderVlies can it be that the present value for the number of households in ETM is used to scale instead of the future value?

DorinevanderVlies commented 8 years ago

can it be that the present value for the number of households in ETM is used to scale instead of the future value?

Well, the number of residences is 495 both in 2013 and in 2035. This is also shown in the picture of the first message. So I don't think so.

@AlexanderWirtz made this scaled scenario. Maybe he can give insight into where the 564 comes from.

DorinevanderVlies commented 8 years ago

Just talked to @AlexanderWirtz This issue seems to come from the way the scenario has been made. Another scaled scenario (IABR) was used to base this scaled scenario on. The scaling does not correspond to the number of residences in the scenario.

I think that for the export to ETM-SA the scaling is used for the number of base load units and that number of residences is used to divide the units of water and space heating technologies.

To me it seems most realistic to use number of residences for both. Or at least use the same parameter for both.

DorinevanderVlies commented 8 years ago

In this scenario 122 old residences are replaced with 60 new ones. So the present total number of residences is 504, the future number is 442.

With exporting to a LES the same problem occurs, household aggregated contains 504 units. The number of space and water heating technologies does add up to 442, which in my opinion is correct.

image

grdw commented 8 years ago

@DorinevanderVlies there's a difference in the way the demand for buffers is determined than there's in the way the demand for households is determined.

The buffers uses gqueries to determine the demand (hot_water_buffer and space_heating_buffer). The households demand is calculated with electricity base load demand.

To explain the difference in units. It's because there are a lot of input values set on scenario 596669. And I'm not sure - at this point - what is intervening with what (I need some time to investigate that properly). List of set input statements: 

--- !ruby/hash:ActiveSupport::HashWithIndifferentAccess
number_of_cars_present: 198
number_of_new_residences: 1
number_of_old_residences: 494
areable_land: 0.0025
households_number_of_inhabitants_both: 0.000732
energy_production_biodiesel_both: 0
energy_production_bio_ethanol_both: 0
energy_distribution_woody_biomass_both: 0
energy_extraction_natural_gas_both: 0
energy_extraction_crude_oil_both: 0
buildings_appliances_coal_share_both: 0
buildings_appliances_crude_oil_share_both: 0
buildings_appliances_electricity_share_both: 100
buildings_appliances_network_gas_share_both: 0
buildings_appliances_wood_pellets_share_both: 0
settings_enable_merit_order: 1
coast_line: 0.19083215796897038
land_available_for_solar: 1.9439280677009871
onshore_suitable_for_wind: 0.15839069111424545
buildings_useful_demand_for_space_heating_both: -100
buildings_useful_demand_cooling_both: -100
buildings_useful_demand_appliances_both: -100
buildings_useful_demand_light_both: -100
households_useful_demand_lighting_both: -2.12580678731514
households_useful_demand_heat_per_person_both: -0.720522084687847
households_useful_demand_for_cooling_both: -2.3610595631541
households_useful_demand_hot_water_both: -0.602669412002566
households_useful_demand_electric_appliances_both: -2.12528294157607
households_useful_demand_cooking_per_person_both: -2.13036444369528
transport_useful_demand_car_kms_both: -2.54429008251214
transport_useful_demand_planes_both: -100
transport_useful_demand_ship_kms_both: -100
transport_useful_demand_trains_both: -100
transport_useful_demand_truck_kms_both: -100
buildings_chp_engine_biogas_share_present: 2.92112950340798
buildings_collective_chp_network_gas_share_present: 0
buildings_collective_chp_wood_pellets_share_present: 0
buildings_collective_geothermal_share_present: 0
buildings_cooling_airconditioning_share_present: 95.6
buildings_cooling_collective_heatpump_water_water_ts_electricity_share_present: 4.4
buildings_cooling_heatpump_air_water_network_gas_share_present: 0
buildings_heat_network_connection_steam_hot_water_share_present: 97.078870496592
buildings_lighting_efficient_fluorescent_electricity_share_present: 6.5
buildings_lighting_led_electricity_share_present: 1.6
buildings_lighting_standard_fluorescent_electricity_share_present: 91.9
buildings_space_heater_coal_share_present: 0
buildings_space_heater_collective_heatpump_water_water_ts_electricity_share_present: 2
buildings_space_heater_crude_oil_share_present: 0
buildings_space_heater_district_heating_steam_hot_water_share_present: 0
buildings_space_heater_electricity_share_present: 0
buildings_space_heater_heatpump_air_water_network_gas_share_present: 0
buildings_space_heater_network_gas_share_present: 95.1
buildings_space_heater_solar_thermal_share_present: 1
buildings_space_heater_wood_pellets_share_present: 1.9
households_collective_chp_biogas_share_present: 0
households_collective_chp_network_gas_share_present: 0
households_collective_chp_wood_pellets_share_present: 0
households_collective_geothermal_share_present: 0
households_cooker_halogen_electricity_share_present: 25.8880270915648
households_cooker_induction_electricity_share_present: 9.70801015933681
households_cooker_network_gas_share_present: 61.1679593626528
households_cooker_resistive_electricity_share_present: 3.2360033864456
households_cooker_wood_pellets_share_present: 0
households_cooling_airconditioning_electricity_share_present: 82.806507033184
households_cooling_heatpump_air_water_electricity_share_present: 0
households_cooling_heatpump_ground_water_electricity_share_present: 17.193492966816
households_heat_network_connection_steam_hot_water_share_present: 100
households_lighting_efficient_fluorescent_electricity_share_present: 48.5
households_lighting_incandescent_electricity_share_present: 49.5
households_lighting_led_electricity_share_present: 2
households_space_heater_coal_share_present: 0
households_space_heater_combined_network_gas_share_present: 96.9520733771812
households_space_heater_crude_oil_share_present: 0
households_space_heater_district_heating_steam_hot_water_share_present: 0
households_space_heater_electricity_share_present: 1.09703640019501
households_space_heater_heatpump_air_water_electricity_share_present: 1.31903931955664
households_space_heater_heatpump_ground_water_electricity_share_present: 0.631850903067162
households_space_heater_hybrid_heatpump_air_water_electricity_share_present: 0
households_space_heater_micro_chp_network_gas_share_present: 0
households_space_heater_network_gas_share_present: 0
households_space_heater_wood_pellets_share_present: 0
households_water_heater_coal_share_present: 0
households_water_heater_combined_network_gas_share_present: 94.2367141945255
households_water_heater_crude_oil_share_present: 0
households_water_heater_district_heating_steam_hot_water_share_present: 0
households_water_heater_fuel_cell_chp_network_gas_share_present: 0
households_water_heater_heatpump_air_water_electricity_share_present: 1.01333122759722
households_water_heater_heatpump_ground_water_electricity_share_present: 0.455071430896583
households_water_heater_hybrid_heatpump_air_water_electricity_share_present: 0
households_water_heater_micro_chp_network_gas_share_present: 0
households_water_heater_network_gas_share_present: 0
households_water_heater_resistive_electricity_share_present: 4.29488314698073
households_water_heater_solar_thermal_share_present: 0
households_water_heater_wood_pellets_share_present: 0
transport_car_using_compressed_natural_gas_share_present: 0.0994716735191067
transport_car_using_diesel_mix_share_present: 27.0976011773144
transport_car_using_electricity_share_present: 0.105812318169285
transport_car_using_gasoline_mix_share_present: 67.4953248175851
transport_car_using_hydrogen_share_present: 0
transport_car_using_lpg_share_present: 5.20179001341212
transport_road_mixer_diesel_biodiesel_share_present: 3.2
transport_road_mixer_diesel_diesel_share_present: 96.8
transport_road_mixer_gasoline_ethanol_share_present: 3.1
transport_road_mixer_gasoline_gasoline_share_present: 96.9
transport_train_using_coal_share_present: 0
transport_train_using_diesel_share_present: 5.6
transport_train_using_electricity_share_present: 94.4
transport_truck_using_compressed_natural_gas_share_present: 0.2997002997003
transport_truck_using_diesel_mix_share_present: 98.8011988011988
transport_truck_using_electricity_share_present: 0
transport_truck_using_gasoline_mix_share_present: 0.799200799200799
transport_truck_using_lng_mix_share_present: 0.0999000999000999
number_of_energy_chp_combined_cycle_network_gas_present: 0
number_of_energy_chp_supercritical_waste_mix_present: 0
number_of_energy_chp_ultra_supercritical_coal_present: 0
number_of_energy_chp_ultra_supercritical_cofiring_coal_present: 0
number_of_energy_chp_ultra_supercritical_lignite_present: 0
number_of_energy_flexibility_p2g_electricity_present: National
number_of_energy_heat_network_backup_heater_network_gas_present: National
number_of_energy_heater_for_heat_network_coal_present: 0
number_of_energy_heater_for_heat_network_network_gas_present: 0
number_of_energy_heater_for_heat_network_waste_mix_present: 1
number_of_energy_heater_for_heat_network_wood_pellets_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_combined_cycle_ccs_coal_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_combined_cycle_ccs_network_gas_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_combined_cycle_coal_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_combined_cycle_network_gas_present: 0.000917277664533622
number_of_energy_power_engine_diesel_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_engine_network_gas_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_geothermal_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_hydro_mountain_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_hydro_river_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_nuclear_gen2_uranium_oxide_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_nuclear_gen3_uranium_oxide: 0.0
number_of_energy_power_solar_csp_solar_radiation_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_solar_pv_solar_radiation_present: 0.001528
number_of_energy_power_supercritical_coal_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_supercritical_waste_mix_present: 0.000811150978994595
number_of_energy_power_turbine_network_gas_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_ultra_supercritical_ccs_coal_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_ultra_supercritical_coal_present: 0.000226966004618395
number_of_energy_power_ultra_supercritical_cofiring_coal_present: 0.000141873016286687
number_of_energy_power_ultra_supercritical_crude_oil_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_ultra_supercritical_lignite_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_ultra_supercritical_network_gas_present: 0.000299
number_of_energy_power_ultra_supercritical_oxyfuel_ccs_lignite_present: 0
number_of_energy_power_wind_turbine_coastal_present: 0.015278
number_of_energy_power_wind_turbine_inland_present: 0.127294
number_of_energy_power_wind_turbine_offshore_present: 0.090689

Eh.. 😅

grdw commented 8 years ago

@DorinevanderVlies do you know what the status of this issue is?