remindmodel / remind

REMIND - REgional Model of INvestments and Development
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Fix non-SSP2-NPi2025 scenarios to SSP2-NPi2025 until 2025. #1902

Closed laurinks closed 2 days ago

laurinks commented 2 days ago

Purpose of this PR

Following the logic that all SSP scenarios (Pop, GDP, energy demand) should be equal in 2025 and only differ thereafter (see issue 361), this PR implements the following changes:

  1. For all SSPx-NPi2025 scenarios with x = 1,3,5,2_lowEn, the start year is set to 2030 and the fixing until 2025 (path_gdx_ref) is set to SSP2-NPi2025.
  2. NPi2025 is used as reference for computing policy costs by setting path_gdx_refpolicycost to SSPx-NPi2025.
  3. For all NDC scenarios, path_gdx_bau is set to SSP2-NPi (resp. SSP2-EU21-NPi). This is a convenient choice as it means that no SSPx-NPi runs except for x=2,2-EU21, and not SSPx-Base runs are needed. Note that we will need to revisit this choice in the process of reworking the NDC scenario as pointed out here by @RahelMA.

To consolidate the number of default scenarios, we only run the "old" NPi scenario for SSP2 and SSP2-EU21 (although calibration for all SSPs continues to be based on the "old" NPi). Moreover, we only run the "old" NDCsy2025 (i.e. with start year 2025) scenario for SSP2 and SSP2-EU21. This results in 8 SSP2 scenarios, 7 SSP2-EU21 scenario, and 4 SSPx scenarios for each x = 1,3,5,2_lowEn, i.e. 31 in total instead of previously 39.

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