theosanderson / chron_analysis

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Treetime comparison #12

Open theosanderson opened 2 years ago

theosanderson commented 2 years ago

I was re-reading the paper and:

If we assume that TreeTime is perfectly calibrated, then the maximum value that Chronumental could achieve (oracularly predicting exactly the correct date in every case) would be 90%, since TreeTime outputs 90% confidence intervals.

on reflection doesn't make sense. Chronumental could exactly re-implement the TreeTime algo and get 100%! Probably the reviewers will flag this but if not fix it anyway.