-
## Summary
In forecasting, accuracy is quite low (i.e. predicted number of cases is far from actual values) when backtesting with Italy data and today=24Apr2021 because of correlation of ODE paramete…
-
## Summary
`_RegBase` (called by `Scenario.fit()` -> `RegressionHandler`) augments data as follows and this improves training/test score **just for show** (does not improve the accuracy of prediction…
-
## Summary
Test score of regression (currently only with Elastic Net) is quite low for Italy case (around 0, R-squared).
## Codes
```Python
import covsirphy as cs
# Dataset preparation
data_…
-
## Summary
Error handling is not clear when some errors is raised with regressor. When a internal `ValueError` occurs, the error description is always `ValueError: max() arg is an empty sequence`. Th…
-
## Summary
Scenario.retrospective() causes `IndexError` as follows.
## Codes
```Python
import covsirphy as cs
# Dataset preparation
data_loader = cs.DataLoader("input")
jhu_data = data_load…
-
## Summary of question
I receive strange results when tring to execute the quickest_tour. Can someone help me with this error?
```>>> _ = snl.simulate()
Traceback (most recent call last):
Fi…
-
## Summary of this new feature
We have `JHUData` and `PopulationData` class separately because the data sourses were different when they were created. The minimum codes to start scenario analysis i…
-
## Summary of this new feature
Improve performance (estimation score and runtime) of parameter estimation with the following solutions.
1. improve estmation score with constant liar
`optuna` prov…
-
## Summary of this new feature
As discussed in #560, the reference date to determine whether a phase is a past phase or a future phase is necessary for `Scenario` class. This property `Scenario.today…
-
## Summary
As discussed in #670, `Scenario.estimate_delay()` returns 53 days as delay period of hungary and this is too long. This causes change points detection failure in S-R trend analysis.
We …