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I'd like to estimate multiple arbitrary uncertainty intervals from a fit model, e.g., find the 80%, 90%, 95%, 99%... confidence intervals. Is the proper way to do this just to compute percentiles on …
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Hi All,
Issue: I'm not seeing divergent uncertainty intervals when forecasting out for long periods, where I would expect to see them. This is using only uncertainty in the trend.
I am forecasti…
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I would like to derive CIs for the aggregated prediction of my holdout set (let's say two weeks).
I think, I have to simulate various predictions, add them up individually and look at the distribut…
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Hi Devs,
I have a use case of decomposing a time series using the prophet. I know that internally prophet decomposes the time series into seasonal, trend and holiday components. But I couldn't find…
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I need some help in understanding how performance_metrics works. I went through the help, quick start, and the code, but I think I'm missing something.
Here's the problem I am facing. When I do a …
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We have a data set that's very sensitive to time of year but also the day of the week. Specifically for a few defined and known period of times, weekend data is 1/10th of weekday data. For the bulk of…
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I had fbprophet installed fine at the beginning of the day (it was running fine yesterday), but per issue [#363](https://github.com/facebook/prophet/issues/363) I hastily uninstalled it after I was ge…
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> make_future_dataframe. By default it will also include the dates from the history, so we will see the model fit as well.
I need predict tomorrow sale count of some products everyday . On my opini…
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Trying to add in built country holidays as mentioned in the doc (https://facebook.github.io/prophet/docs/seasonality,_holiday_effects,_and_regressors.html#modeling-holidays-and-special-events)
Exec…
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Please see build logs: https://travis-ci.com/facebook/prophet/jobs/163646182
and pr: https://github.com/facebook/prophet/pull/766