Akshat111111 / Hedging-of-Financial-Derivatives

This strategy works for every market condition irrespective of the movement
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we can enhance Gold price prediction by using LSTM model #173

Closed PRIYANSHU2026 closed 4 months ago

PRIYANSHU2026 commented 4 months ago

Gold Price Prediction

Project Overview

This project aims to predict the price of gold using various machine learning models. The project includes data exploration, feature engineering, model training, and evaluation.

Requirements

  1. Data Retrieval:

    • Collect historical gold price data from a reliable source.
  2. Data Exploration:

    • Perform exploratory data analysis (EDA) to understand the data distribution and patterns.
    • Visualize the data to identify trends and relationships.
  3. Feature Engineering:

    • Create new features that could improve the model's performance.
    • Handle missing values and perform data normalization/standardization.
  4. Model Training:

    • Train various machine learning models (e.g., Linear Regression, Decision Trees, Random Forest, LSTM).
    • Use train_test_split to create training and testing datasets.
    • Apply techniques like cross-validation to improve model robustness.
  5. Model Evaluation:

    • Evaluate model performance using appropriate metrics (e.g., RMSE, MAE, R2 score).
    • Compare the performance of different models.
    • Visualize the model predictions against actual values.

Libraries and Tools

Approach

  1. Data Retrieval:

    • Collect historical gold price data from a reliable source such as Yahoo Finance, Quandl, or other financial data providers.
  2. Data Exploration:

    • Load the data into a DataFrame and inspect the first few rows.
    • Check for missing values and handle them appropriately.
    • Perform statistical analysis to summarize the data.
    • Create visualizations (e.g., line plots, histograms, box plots) to understand data trends and distributions.
  3. Feature Engineering:

    • Generate additional features like moving averages, rolling statistics, and lag features.
    • Normalize or standardize the data to improve model performance.
    • Encode categorical features if any.
  4. Model Training:

    • Split the data into training and testing sets using train_test_split.
    • Train various machine learning models:
      • Linear Regression
      • Decision Trees
      • Random Forest
      • LSTM (using TensorFlow and Keras)
    • Perform cross-validation to ensure model robustness.
  5. Model Evaluation:

    • Evaluate each model using metrics like RMSE, MAE, and R2 score.
    • Visualize the predictions of each model against actual gold prices.
    • Select the best-performing model based on evaluation metrics.

Tasks

Use the following libraries to assist with model training and evaluation:

import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import seaborn as sns
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split, cross_val_score
from sklearn.metrics import mean_absolute_error, mean_squared_error, r2_score
import tensorflow as tf
from keras.models import Sequential
from keras.layers import Dense, LSTM, Dropout

Expected Outcomes


give your opinion

Akshat111111 commented 4 months ago

yeah, nice description, You can start working on it.

aryanchauh commented 4 months ago

Hello sir . I wanna fix this issue @Akshat111111 . I can fix this code in just 3 days

PRIYANSHU2026 commented 4 months ago

already completed