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AllenDowney / ThinkBayes2

Text and code for the forthcoming second edition of Think Bayes, by Allen Downey.
http://allendowney.github.io/ThinkBayes2/
MIT License
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Misleading solution for chap06 exercise "honest members" #41

Closed johanwiden closed 9 months ago

johanwiden commented 3 years ago

I believe it is a lucky coincidence that table[312] or so gives a good likelihood. I believe that one should search table[] for the index that gives the posterior that has a max_prob() closest to 312. I think this becomes clear if one plots the distributions for a few indices, say [0, 180, 360, 530]. Also if one considers that he values 50% and 90% are somewhat arbitrary.

AllenDowney commented 9 months ago

Sorry I did not get to this sooner -- it looks like this might refer to an earlier version of the solution. Please let me know if this is still an issue.