BayAreaMetro / tm2py

Travel Model Two - python edition
https://bayareametro.github.io/tm2py/
Apache License 2.0
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🧹 Chore: Spot Checks to Confirm/Refute that the Truck Model is Implemented Correctly #137

Closed DavidOry closed 1 month ago

DavidOry commented 9 months ago

As part of the Acceptance Criteria, large truck counts from Caltrans are being compared to the simulation outcomes. In the current working version, labeled version 0.1, the simulated truck volumes are very different from the observed. We therefore want to do some spot checks to confirm that thetm2py implementation, which is in Emme, is giving similar estimates to the TM1.5 implementation, which is in Cube.

Progress:

Considerations

Spot check a handful of locations, focusing on those with large observed volumes from the Caltrans database. The TM1.5 are networks are from this run, labeled 2015_TM152_IPA_17.

Spot checks will be documented here. FYI @gregerhardt, @lmz, @FlaviaTsang

DavidOry commented 9 months ago

Location 1: I-880 Northbound near Laney College Model Link ID: 3046109 Caltrans Station: ALA 880 31.09

Screenshot 2024-02-14 at 3 06 36 PM

Caltrans Daily Count: 12,305 large trucks TM1.5 Daily Estimate: 764 heavy trucks (9,287 small and medium trucks) TM2.2.2 version 0.1 Daily Estimate: 1,655 (52,468 small and medium trucks)

DavidOry commented 9 months ago

Location 2: I-580 WB at I-680 Interchange Model Link ID: 3001073 Caltrans Station: ALA 580 20.73

Screenshot 2024-02-14 at 3 21 04 PM

Caltrans Daily Count: 8,165 large trucks TM1.5 Daily Estimate: 228 heavy trucks (6,099 small and medium trucks) TM2.2.2 version 0.1 Daily Estimate: 255 heavy trucks (18,483 small and medium trucks)

DavidOry commented 9 months ago

Location 3: US 101 South of San Jose after CA 85 Interchange Model Link ID: 2265161 Caltrans Station: SCL 101 28.61

Screenshot 2024-02-15 at 7 33 58 AM

Caltrans Daily Count: 6,813 large trucks TM1.5 Daily Estimate: 369 heavy trucks (3,042 small and medium trucks) TM2.2.2 version 0.1 Daily Estimate: 971 heavy trucks (13,016 small and medium trucks)

DavidOry commented 9 months ago
source daily_vmt_pc daily_vmt_sm daily_vmt_hv daily_vmt pc_share sm_share hv_share
TM1.5.2 139,573,000 13,964,000 956,000 154,493,000 90.3% 9.03% 0.62%
TM2.1 148,388,000 27,862,000 700,000 176,950,000 83.9% 15.7% 0.40%
TM2.2.2.0.1 158,859,000 23,731,000 605,000 183,195,000 86.7% 13.0% 0.33%

pc is passenger car, sm is small and medium trucks, and hv is heavy trucks.

FYI @gregerhardt, @lmz: confirming that the TM2.1 and TM2.2.2 commercial vehicle quantities are similar and rather different than the TM1.5 quantities.

compare-roadway-assignments.pdf