Closed BobAubouin closed 7 months ago
The baseline should be this paper: Jacquet-Lagrèze, Matthias; Larue, Antoine; Guilherme, Enrique; Schweizer, Rémi; Portran, Philippe; Ruste, Martin; Gazon, Mathieu; Aubrun, Frédéric; Fellahi, Jean-Luc. Prediction of intraoperative hypotension from the linear extrapolation of mean arterial pressure. European Journal of Anaesthesiology 39(7):p 574-581, July 2022. | DOI: 10.1097/EJA.0000000000001693
The metric to evaluate the model should be something like: When the predictor gives an alarm, how often does hypotension actually occur, e.g., 3 to 10 min later (i.e., positive predictive value); and when hypotension occurs, was there a predicted alarm 3 to 10 min earlier (i.e., sensitivity)? The range of time might be discuss but seems faire for a 5 minutes ahead prediction
Testing on data, it appears that diastolic pressure is a better predictor of hypotension than mean arterial pressure. SO it should be the baseline.
It might be possible that a simpler question to answer for the metric is: After an alarm rise, how often does hypotension actually occurs in the next 10 minutes. It will be easier to explain in the paper.
The metric to evaluate the model should be something like: When the predictor gives an alarm, how often does hypotension actually occur, e.g., 3 to 10 min later (i.e., positive predictive value); and when hypotension occurs, was there a predicted alarm 3 to 10 min earlier (i.e., sensitivity)? The range of time might be discuss but seems faire for a 5 minutes ahead prediction
This have not been implemented (might be a good thing to check)
Implement the baseline for the task, see this example: