Open AFg6K7h4fhy2 opened 1 month ago
DHM's implementation of Epidemia.
I interpreted this as @dylanhmorris implementation of the tool epidemia
but I know the meaning is the use of epidemia
for flu forecasting. I imagine everyone is on the same page but perhaps worth a reword for clarity.
Making this point as reimplementing all of epidemia
is a much bigger task than the quite simple model that ended up being used for flu.
Validate MSR implemented Epidemia model with NHSN data
It seems like if seeking to duplicate a new implementation should be validated against the old one rather than just against old data (i.e via simulation)
@seabbs
Thank you for the feedback, Sam. I've edited the issue. Wrt your first point, I think [that the target is a private repository] affected my wording, i.e I tried to cloak cfa-forecast-renewal-epidemia
. Wrt the second point, this was simply a lack of detail on my end.
After some conversation {DHM, DamonB, GeorgeVY, me}, it has been decided, with moderate strength, to contain this port-over-implementation in the tutorials
folder "for the time being".
Goal
Verify that DHM's influenza forecasting repository
cfa-forecast-renewal-epidemia
, which utilizesepidemia
, can be instantiated via MSR.Context
Utility from the
multisignal-epi-inference
repository is derived from being able to modularly construct renewal processes. One renewal model that should be able to be specified via MSR tools is the aforementionedcfa-forecast-renewal-epidemia
. This port-over process, in expectation, might allow MSR developments to identify structural inadequacies or missing features and or usage capabilities.Required Features
quarto
walk-through detailing the port-over steps and providing documentation.cfa-forecast-renewal-epidemia
via simulation and fitting on NHSN data, which is the datacfa-forecast-renewal-epidemia
has historically been used on.Out Of Scope
epidemia
related MSR-implementations of renewal processes.epidemia
beyond the scope of what's captured incfa-forecast-renewal-epidemia
.Related documents