We have archived the posterior draws from the real-time submissions, which we produced for both the wastewater and hospital admissions
Conditioned on the forecast-date and location having sufficient wastewater and passing convergence tests, we would like to know the real-time relative CRPS scores between the wastewater and hospital admissions model for each location-forecast date.
Requirements
Copy the data over from the S drive
write code to load in the draws and flags for each set of file structures (first 2 forecast dates vs last 4),
For each forecast-date location, read in the model draws and flags, score the model draws, and save all the scores with the metadata
summarize relative CRPS by forecast date and location for the real-time runs
Goal
Requirements