CDCgov / wastewater-informed-covid-forecasting

Wastewater-informed COVID-19 forecasting models submitted to the COVID-19 Forecast Hub
https://cdcgov.github.io/wastewater-informed-covid-forecasting/
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Epidemic phase analysis in head-to-head comparison pipeline #32

Open kaitejohnson opened 1 week ago

kaitejohnson commented 1 week ago

Problem

Hypothesize that performance of the wastewater model varies by epidemic phase. We need to implement an algorithm to stratify by epidemic phase.

Requirements

Use externally produced retrospective R(t) over all time to categorize each location-week by epidemic phase, either following the phases here Lopez et al increasing, decreasing, nadir, or peak, or use NNH's algorithm applied to the retrospective data. Will add this is as another stratification of the scores