Como-DTC-Collaboration / como-models

Pedagogical materials for learning COVID-19 transmission dynamics modelling
https://Como-DTC-Collaboration.github.io/como-models/
MIT License
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Add symptome-compartment model and test (#3) #6

Closed hfldai closed 3 years ago

hfldai commented 3 years ago

Logs on branch i3-symptome-compartment

Model specificities

Format (goal - unify model structure across classes; generalize common functions / class definitions):

Others

hfldai commented 3 years ago

Do we want to calculate number of cases and deaths in each model, or include it into the generic plotting function?

I think currently we calculate cumulative disease-caused deaths in each model separately, as each model consists of different infectious groups. The plotting function is defined outside of the model class, which can be called by different models, given they have the same format of output dataframe.

It's interesting to me that waning immunity is not considered when calculating the basic reproduction number. The course of the epidemic is so different with and without waning immunity, yet their reproduction numbers are the same.

Yes, whether or not including waning immunity gives different epidemic curves even though at the same R0, as R0 is the basic reproduction number that only implies the trend at the beginning of the epidemic, under the disease free equilibrium (DFE) condition (S0>0, E0>0, S0>>E0, other compartments = 0); thus R0 does not imply how the pandemic behaves in the later times. I think If we monitor the effective reproduction number R(t) for each time point, we might see the differences caused by waning immunity (and maybe also the effects by other conditions/parameters).