ETC5521-2022 / assignment1-emu

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Further analysis and improvement #5

Open oskarymd opened 2 years ago

oskarymd commented 2 years ago

The analysis by Min Min and Rohan is inspiring and informative. They provide us with a big picture in terms of the consumption, production and stock levels of world’s seafood.

There are couples of interesting findings made by the origin analysis. Here we just list a few:

• Countries make the largest contribution to world’s seafood production may not have high level seafood consuming at the same time.

• It seems like seafood consumption is highly affected by the geographical factor. Namely, coastal. countries tend to consume more than arid regions.

• A considerable decline in seafood consumption around 1989 was observed.

Based on this, we are going to develop a further study base on the same dataset. We aim to explore the datasets deeper which may lead us to more surprising findings. Our analysis would focus on four questions. To be more specific, Q1 is the original question in the previous report. We believe this question may have great potential to be improved. Q2 is new question to allow us broadening the scope of the existing report. Here are the some of our ideas:

1 What is the contribution of each country in the global fishery sector?

• Origin report focus on the ‘Production’ dataset. We are going to expand the analysis by digging the ‘Captured vs Farmed’ dataset and figure out which countries are the top producer in each category.

• We would also look at the trend of production, such us which country’s contribution have the most significant increase or decrease overtime.

2 What has been the trend of fish stocks in the world?

• Previous report reveals the world’s trend based on the stock type. Here we would like to go further by analyzing the trend based on each region.

• Also, we are going to compare the world’s trend of sustainable/ overexploited stock with the trend of world seafood consumption. By comparing these two datasets, we would like to see if they have any similar pattern.

We will keep discussing and share ideas to improve our analysis. Any further updates will be showed as new issue or comment.

Xiyun-z commented 2 years ago
  1. What would be the notable finding when we comparing the consumption with production?

• We are going to compare the consumption and production data of the top ten fish producer.

• We also compare the consumption data with ‘farmed vs captured’ dataset to reveal the similarity and difference in trend.

• It will be a good idea to mapping seafood consumption and production by region

• Fit a model for the seafood distribution and consumption, predict data for few years after. And analysis these with sustainable status.

  1. What is the trend of seafood and fish production of 7 different categories?

• A discussion based on trend of each fish type would be presented.

• Fowling this, a comparison with the world consumption. Which type of seafood contribute the most to meet the increasing demand? What type of fish depend more on captured than aquaculture production? Why?

We will keep discussing and share ideas to improve our analysis. Any further updates will be showed as new issue or comment.

Useful information:

(https://www.fao.org/3/cc0461en/online/sofia/2022/world-fisheries-aquaculture-production.html)

(https://ourworldindata.org/rise-of-aquaculture)

https://www.fao.org/sustainable-development-goals/indicators/1441/en/

oskarymd commented 2 years ago

Change of Question 1 We setup a new question 1 instead of answering the same question from the original report. We tend to specify the analysis area by focusing on the top 10 seafood producer and digging the data from a wider prospective.

The new question 1 would be: What have been the performances of the top 10 seafood producer?

The following steps may help us to answer this question: