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FiRE-HNL / alaska-wildfire-occurrence

Wildfire occurrence modeling using Terrestrial Ecosystem Models and Artificial Intelligence
Apache License 2.0
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Add metrics to evaluate forecasting score #18

Open jordancaraballo opened 1 year ago

jordancaraballo commented 1 year ago

Brier score provides metrics over the probabilities instead of the actual true or not true value

https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.metrics.brier_score_loss.html

jordancaraballo commented 1 year ago

https://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/verification/#Methods_for_probabilistic_forecasts