FinTechIntro / 2024-Spring-Final

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Portfolio Selection #28

Open EileenWang-10001010 opened 1 month ago

EileenWang-10001010 commented 1 month ago

Summary

Portfolio selection is the process of choosing a group of investments that aligns with your financial goals and risk tolerance. It involves finding the right balance between potentially high-return, high-risk investments and lower-risk, lower-return options. By diversifying your portfolio across different asset classes, you aim to reduce overall risk without sacrificing potential returns.

Description

Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT), developed by Harry Markowitz, is a cornerstone of portfolio selection. MPT emphasizes diversification – spreading the investments across different asset classes to reduce overall risk. The theory suggests that a portfolio's risk isn't just about the individual risk of each investment, but also how their returns are correlated. Assets with low correlation can help balance your portfolio, meaning a loss in one area can be offset by gains in another. The underlying distribution, risk-return trade-off, and efficient frontier are key concepts in MPT portfolio selection.

From the lecture, we also learned the robust version of MPT, the Black-Litterman Model, incorporating an investor's views and opinions about the market along with market data. From the game theory and optimization aspect, portfolio selection could be seen as an online linear optimization algorithm, one of the problems is the complexity to achieve the optimal solution. Here, we want to investigate portfolio selection from different views and compare the methods.

Source

Jose Blanchet, Lin Chen, Xun Yu Zhou (2022) Distributionally Robust Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection with Wasserstein Distances. Management Science 68(9):6382-6410. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2021.4155

Data-dependent bounds for online portfolio selection without Lipschitzness and smoothness (http://arxiv.org/abs/2305.13946), NeurIPS 2023. C.-E. Tsai, Y.-T. Lin, and Y.-H. Li

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Others

Portfolio selection is a complex field with ongoing research. There are several points to consider, including risk tolerance, investment time horizon (the gap between theoretically estimated reward and real-world reward), and rebalancing.

LouisTsai-Csie commented 1 month ago

Great, I like this topic.

Maybe @Raccoon103 can give you some advice.

Raccoon103 commented 1 month ago

For black-litterman model, the paper recommendation is: Kolm, Petter, and Gordon Ritter. "On the bayesian interpretation of black–litterman." European Journal of Operational Research 258, no. 2 (2017): 564-572.

For portfolio-liked optimization problems, a famous alternative machine learning approach might be: Elmachtoub, Adam N., and Paul Grigas. "Smart “predict, then optimize”." Management Science 68, no. 1 (2022): 9-26.

LouisTsai-Csie commented 1 month ago

@Raccoon103 Thanks for the feedback

Jimmy-xavier commented 1 month ago

@LouisTsai-Csie Hello TA, If I am interested in this idea , can I work on the same topic?

LouisTsai-Csie commented 1 month ago

@Jimmy-xavier I recommend choosing another topic, as this research direction was designed by @EileenWang-10001010, not TA