FinTechIntro / 2024-Spring-Final

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[Monte Carlo simulation for risk assessment] #32

Closed Jimmy-xavier closed 4 months ago

Jimmy-xavier commented 4 months ago

Summary

Monte Carlo simulation is widely used in financial risk management to forecast potential losses or gains. This statistical method models the uncertainties in financial markets by simulating diverse outcomes based on random variables, which is essential for evaluating risks and making informed decisions in volatile environments.

Description

Some basic concepts of risk management were introduced in the class. I would like to use this opportunity to understand the principles of Monte Carlo simulation and why it is so widely used in various fields.

Monte Carlo simulation simulates possible market scenarios by generating a large number of random samples, thus offering a comprehensive risk assessment. The advantages of Monte Carlo simulation include its ability to handle complex and nonlinear issues, and its capacity to provide insights on potential extreme events. It helps managers and analysts assess the impact of various scenarios, enabling strategic planning and better preparedness for market fluctuations.

Source

  1. https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/112514/monte-carlo-simulation-basics.asp
  2. K. Rezaie, M. S. Amalnik, A. Gereie, B. Ostadi, and M. Shakhseniaee, “Using extended Monte Carlo simulation method for the improvement of risk management: Consideration of relationships between uncertainties,” Applied Mathematics and Computation, vol. 190, no. 2, pp. 1492-1501, 2007. (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0096300307001841)

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