Midwinter UMBS meeting is next week. Ben and Chris will talk more next week about the winter meeting presentation
Synthesis paper ongoing. Chris making progress reworking outline; ERL extended deadline. Need to be sure we do analysis in statistically robust way
Jeff's canopy structure paper is coming along. Will it be influential or ignored? Jeff thinks one or the other. Need to carefully explain value of metrics
Alexey working on modeling paper. Has a preliminary workflow (which is really cool!) and has 50-member ensemble going now on cluster: only UMBS species, extra trait data to constrain parameters. Will be interesting to see how much 'better' (or not) results are from this. Hopefully present some results in two weeks
Ben and Alexey planning to attend Mike Dietze's EFI2019 conference in DC in May, hopefully present early FoRTE work there
Chris wants to get firm date for girdling on the calendar. Last 10 days of May? Jeff unavailable 15-17th, much easier for Ben after the 16th
Treatment choice simulations. Jeff spent last week doing deep dive into randomness, disturbance choices...nothing definitive; he will send a menu of options to everyone for feedback later this week. Possible disturbances fall into (i) mimicking a natural one, (ii) maximizing some field/biology test to draw inferences about processes; (iii) maximizing some model test to be most informative.
Chris notes FASET was "clumpy" in terms of disturbance; we might want a regime that's more gradient-oriented.
One concern: if we kill biggest trees preferentially, that will 'match' early successional. So maybe we randomize within DBH classes. What will that look like (i) spatially) and (ii) wrt composition?
B and A will think about what disturbance might maximize model information/test. Alexey also notes that ED is effectively 1-D at a single site, even though in reality there's patchiness, etc. So one interesting hypothesis would be if there's a spatial dimension in how we're killing trees, is that important for ED? I.e. a spatially structured kill. Gaps, light priority, etc (Mike D's dissertation).
With @bpbond @ashiklom @atkinsjeff @cmgough