Skagit Model Updates

[ChristinaB]

Goal for September - @keckje

Historical time period next steps

• [ ] 1980-2010 hourly NNRP model runs for distributed 241 stations

[ChristinaB]

Updates from AESI-USIT: Model run location Hyak: /civil/shared/ecohydrology/Skagit/network

• [x] Restart 1915, 1960, MACA model runs Skagit.150.SA.modellist.historic_1915_1960 Skagit.150.SA.modellist.MACA1 Skagit.150.SA.modellist.MACA2 Skagit.150.SA.modellist.MACA3 see putput/output1915, output1960, outputMACA

• [x] SkagitRiver_nr_Newhalem_abv_Thunder is output from DHSVM listed in the 'Other' location list C:\Users\cband\Google Drive\UW Projects\SkagitClimateConsortium\SCLDataTables_January2018draftdelivery\SCLflows\Other_locations_19_historic_draft.zip

  • [x] On the historical files, the first day is often REALLY high. I just ended up deleting those days. -- the initial boundary condition for 1915 was updated to a realistic model output for October (from 2006) rather than totally arbitrary initial conditions.

• [x] The others thing I noticed: all future files stop at 12/30/2099 … why not 12/31? The original model runs had a start date ending at hour 00, but should have been ending on hour 21. This has been updated.

• [x] Update Nookachamps streamflow output for upstream of Skagit network. The network output should be 10564, now updated from May 2018 version set a 10443

  > 10564 32 0.000070 1360.660156 2 10443 SAVE "Nookachamps"  - [x] _There were two locations for the Sauk River above Clear Creek._ (One was called SaukRiver_abClearCreek_nrDarrington, the other is called SR_aboveClearCreek = 13344 = Sauk River above Clear Creek => renamed Sauk_abvClearCreek

SaukRiver_abClearCreek_nrDarrington is actually ClearCreek. = 13375 =>renamed ClearCreek This has been renamed in Updates made to names in process_skagit.txt

[ChristinaB]

Batch Model runs submitted 06/29/2018 Walltime 264 hours to complete before July 11 reboot

[cband@ikt1 Skagit]$ qsub -W group_list=hyak-hydro Skagit.150.SA.historic_1915_1960.pbs 8490849.mgmt2.hyak.local [cband@ikt1 Skagit]$ qsub -W group_list=hyak-hydro Skagit.150.SA.MACA1.pbs 8490850.mgmt2.hyak.local [cband@ikt1 Skagit]$ qsub -W group_list=hyak-coenv Skagit.150.SA.MACA2.pbs 8490851.mgmt2.hyak.local [cband@ikt1 Skagit]$ qsub -W group_list=hyak-uwbstem Skagit.150.SA.MACA3.pbs 8490852.mgmt2.hyak.local

[ChristinaB]

Seattle City Light Update

• [x] Post 'Existing' and 'Other' sites to HydroShare Resource - Ronda to review

• [x] Rerun Existing and Other for 1950-2099. Use original time periods for 50 yr (?) Compare 1975-2025 to 2025-2075 [1950,2000] [1975,2025] [2000,2050] [2025,2075] [2050,2099]

or time(1,:)=[1961 2010]; historic observed data only, no GCM data time(2,:)=[2000 2050]; GCM time(3,:)=[2025 2075]; GCM time(4,:)=[2050 2099]; GCM

• [x] Get list of additional sites as delivered for the Landslide Project - Landslide Hazard Deliverable #1

• [x] Run Matlab code for extreme statistics for original scope and locations listed for no-bias correction.

• [x] Compare updated hybrid forcing no-streamflow bias correction results to bias corrected previous results.

• [x] TBD - streamflow bias correction

• [x] Deliver Tableau table to ESA

[ChristinaB]

@RondaStrauch -

• [x] please see list above and comment when you are at SCL

• [x] Review original contract and scope of work.

• [x] Determine how to scope the final deliverable

[ChristinaB]

• Compare updated hybrid forcing no-streamflow bias correction results to bias corrected previous results.

• [x] make new nat flow input files

• [x] Read in old model, old model bc, new model, nat flows monthly ave figure - for Location X

• [x] Review structure for bc on pogolinux and code needed to update files - to get scope of work

• [x] Get Gorge updated raw files into appendix to compare %change into the future

[ChristinaB]

• [x] make new copy of old bias correction code on Pogolinux /data1/mount_sea/Skagit_streamflowbiascorrection

• [x] Update matlab postprocessing or make new python script to read in C:\Users\cband\Skagit\DHSVM\hydrology_results

  concatenate daily streamflow and monthly streamflow 1960-2099 rename into simple format move into the folder names 'ModelHistoric', 'ModelFuture' test old code

[ChristinaB]

2018 Model runs had an error in the network and selecting the link to output Nookachamps. This input has been corrected for future runs, but rerunning all 40 175 years of model runs is outside of the scope of current projects. The 2018 results for Nookachamps have been processed based on 1.98 scaling to the East Fork Nookachamps Creek. location={'EastForkNookachamps'} scaledlocation={'Nookachamps'} Nookachamps_area=88.72 + 94.24 %sqkm EastForkNookachamps_area=94.24 %sqkm Nookachamps_frarea=Nookachamps_area/EastForkNookachamps_area