GridMod / RTS-GMLC

Reliability Test System - Grid Modernization Lab Consortium
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Unrealistic Forecast Errors #114

Open DLWoodruff opened 4 years ago

DLWoodruff commented 4 years ago

There are number of hours in RTS_Data/timeseries_data_files/WIND/DAY_AHEAD_WIND.csv that have unreasonably high forecast errors. The worst two hours are

Date, Time, Forecast, Observed total (from REAL_TIME_wind.csv) 2020-02-27, 19:00:00, 0.1, 1918.03333333333

2020-03-05, 19:00:00, 0.1, 1918.03333333333

The fact that it is for the same hour of the day with the same unrealistic values but on different days makes me suspect a bug in the software that created the files. Note that these forecasts differ from neighboring hours by more than two orders of magnitude (and the neighboring hours are also quite bad).