Water availability/error analysis

Error or Uncertainty? What is the distinction?
- We are evaluating error, that is, the amount by which the models over/under-simulate flows during a given historical period of measured flows.
What is the question: "What impact does model vs. gage calibration error have on our assessment of water availability, and/or flow alteration?"
Potential assumptions about model error and the error equations:
- Demand term: this is not subject to error because we ask the question, if we have this much demand, how much water is left for us and other beneficial uses?
Can we integrate model error terms in the water availability equation?
- Yes.
- Error Analysis Form: $WA{CPL} = Q{LCPLdem} - (PoF * Q{LCPLbase}) + S{minCPL}/CPL$ - e ;
  - where e = model error over critical flow period in mgd

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