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ImperialCollegeLondon / covid19model

Code for modelling estimated deaths and cases for COVID19.
MIT License
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Hospitalization #37

Closed philipus closed 4 years ago

philipus commented 4 years ago

I am wondering whether hospitalization is included or not. I guess not...

Is that possible to include hospitalization as you did in a former Report 9? This is from the society perspective very important because I guess that measures is only driven by the projection (maximum) of the hospitalization.

nlhuong commented 4 years ago

I think you can model the counts of hospitalized in a similar way as deaths are in the paper. You just need to substitute the prior for pi, to a reasonable distribution for the sum of time from infection to symptoms and time from symptoms to hospitalization. Also switch from ifr to ihr (infected-to-hospitalized-ration). The estimates of unadjusted ihr are also in the reference [11].

s-mishra commented 4 years ago

As said @nlhuong we could do it. However, right now we are not able to take this because of work load and availability of data. We might come back to it later.

philipus commented 4 years ago

In France we have pretty good Data https://www.data.gouv.fr/en/datasets/donnees-hospitalieres-relatives-a-lepidemie-de-covid-19/