Open DrChr opened 4 years ago
Below is a comparison of data from Folkhälsomyndigheten (FOHM) and data I just downloaded from ECDC's web site:
Date | FOHM | ECDC | Error |
---|---|---|---|
3/11/2020 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3/12/2020 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
3/13/2020 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3/14/2020 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3/15/2020 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
3/16/2020 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
3/17/2020 | 1 | 4 | -3 |
3/18/2020 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
3/19/2020 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
3/20/2020 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
3/21/2020 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
3/22/2020 | 12 | 4 | 8 |
3/23/2020 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
3/24/2020 | 20 | 4 | 16 |
3/25/2020 | 25 | 11 | 14 |
3/26/2020 | 30 | 6 | 24 |
3/27/2020 | 32 | 24 | 8 |
3/28/2020 | 35 | 26 | 9 |
3/29/2020 | 38 | 10 | 28 |
3/30/2020 | 42 | 8 | 34 |
3/31/2020 | 43 | 36 | 7 |
4/1/2020 | 50 | 34 | 16 |
4/2/2020 | 68 | 59 | 9 |
4/3/2020 | 71 | 43 | 28 |
4/4/2020 | 61 | 51 | 10 |
4/5/2020 | 79 | 40 | 39 |
4/6/2020 | 85 | 28 | 57 |
4/7/2020 | 75 | 76 | -1 |
4/8/2020 | 97 | 114 | -17 |
4/9/2020 | 63 | 96 | -33 |
4/10/2020 | 62 | 106 | -44 |
4/11/2020 | 61 | 77 | -16 |
4/12/2020 | 62 | 17 | 45 |
4/13/2020 | 55 | 12 | 43 |
4/14/2020 | 49 | 20 | 29 |
4/15/2020 | 41 | 114 | -73 |
4/16/2020 | 10 | 170 | -152 |
Date missing: | 18 |
The data from the swedish authorities are quite problematic, I wouldn't use it. Also, the swedish data has fooled the authority itself and the swedish people. The ECDC data is probably a lot more useful.
Due to the model for Sweden using incorrect data, I think you should somehow mark the corresponding web page [1] as invalid or something. Perhaps you could add a banner or note at the top of the web page. Or maybe just remove it.
As for why the data I say the data it's using is invalid, have a look at the the screenshots below for comparison. See #58 for additional details.
I also wonder if you have checked the data for other countries?
N:o deceased for different days as taken from Sweden's "Folkhälsomyndighet" on the 16th of April:
Compare this with what's currently (on the 16th) being shown on the model for Sweden:
[1] https://mrc-ide.github.io/covid19estimates/#/details/Sweden