search

ImperialCollegeLondon / covid19model

Code for modelling estimated deaths and cases for COVID19.
MIT License
944 stars 271 forks source link

Data for UK incorrect? #97

Closed torfjelde closed 4 years ago

torfjelde commented 4 years ago

Looking at https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ it seems like the data for daily deaths is incorrect? A quick way to check is that there are no days with > 1000 deaths in the dataset, but looking at gov-website there should be some.

Is this a mistake or are there maybe corrections to the numbers that haven't made it into the project? Also, may I ask what your data-sources are?

Thanks!

s-mishra commented 4 years ago

Hi @torfjelde our data source is ECDC. Unfortunately, yesterday they included all deaths from care/nursing homes which gave a spike. However, today ECDC has again smoothed that data to back date those deaths (to check download the file ECDC had yesterday) . So it wasn't a problem on our side but a problem on data side because of correction UK did yesterday.

torfjelde commented 4 years ago

Cool, I figured it was something like that :+1: Thanks!