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ImperialCollegeLondon / epidemia

epidemia package
https://imperialcollegelondon.github.io/epidemia/index.html
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Counterfactuals? #23

Closed flaxter closed 4 years ago

flaxter commented 4 years ago

(Not sure if this is already implemented.)

In the original Nature paper we have a single counterfactual. But there are lots of other counterfactuals that'd make sense. And also scenarios as in Italy/Brazil/USA. How hard would it be to include any of these in epidemia?

jscott6 commented 4 years ago

Should be straightforward - has not yet been implemented though. Will work on this

flaxter commented 4 years ago

Cool so here are a few Sam and I discussed:

1) What if the UK had locked down a week earlier? 2) What if Sweden had a lockdown?

And the impossible one to answer until we get better data on importations: 3) What would have happened in Sweden if other European countries hadn't locked down?

On Tue, Jun 16, 2020 at 2:54 PM James Scott notifications@github.com wrote:

Should be straightforward - has not yet been implemented though. Will work on this

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jscott6 commented 4 years ago

This is now addressed in branch iss23 - will be merged with main on next release.