1) "Time for disease recovery" parameters in "covasim/covasim/README.rst" is not up to date.
2) Not sure if this is a bug but I don't understand why crit2rec == sev2rec == 18.1
3) And for crit2die, I think 9.7 days would be a better number
Expected behavior
1) The README should match the code in covasim/covasim/parameters.py
2) I think crit2rec should be this: 16.6 days = 24.7 onset-to-recovery - 6.6 sym2sev - 1.5 sev2crit
3) In the calculation provided in the code, 18.8 days total was used instead of 17.8, which is a more precise number.
In the study cited in the code (Verity et al.), the authors said that: "In the subset of 24 deaths...early in the epidemic...we estimated the mean time from onset to death to be 18·8 days [15·7–49·7]" "However...our posterior estimate...informed by the analysis of aggregated data from China, is MORE PRECISE (mean 17·8 days [16·9–19·2])"
Additional context
1) The code parameters were updated to use more accurate numbers from recent research but the README was not updated.
Describe the bug
1) "Time for disease recovery" parameters in "covasim/covasim/README.rst" is not up to date. 2) Not sure if this is a bug but I don't understand why crit2rec == sev2rec == 18.1 3) And for crit2die, I think 9.7 days would be a better number
Expected behavior
1) The README should match the code in covasim/covasim/parameters.py 2) I think crit2rec should be this: 16.6 days = 24.7 onset-to-recovery - 6.6 sym2sev - 1.5 sev2crit 3) In the calculation provided in the code, 18.8 days total was used instead of 17.8, which is a more precise number. In the study cited in the code (Verity et al.), the authors said that: "In the subset of 24 deaths...early in the epidemic...we estimated the mean time from onset to death to be 18·8 days [15·7–49·7]" "However...our posterior estimate...informed by the analysis of aggregated data from China, is MORE PRECISE (mean 17·8 days [16·9–19·2])"
Additional context 1) The code parameters were updated to use more accurate numbers from recent research but the README was not updated.