Branching processes and epidemic probability

Joel-Miller-Lab / InfectiousMath

This is intended to provide a set of self-contained examples, much like the Mudd math fun facts which demonstrate mathematics through biological examples.

MIT License

4 stars 0 forks source link

Branching processes and epidemic probability #10

Open joelmiller opened 2 years ago

joelmiller commented 2 years ago

If we start with an offspring distribution we can calculate the probability of an epidemic. This is a "Galton-Watson" process.

The probability of extinction by generation g can be expressed through a cobweb diagram.