Open JohnCRuf opened 1 year ago
Assigning the first task to @tmalthouse, as this kind of study was initially his idea.
Q: How many census blocks were moved from "aligned" wards IE: were Majority black/white/Hispanic in a ward where that was the majority to "unaligned" wards in the 2012 redistricting? Is there enough that we can do some study with them?
Wards tend to be majority White, Hispanic, or Black. Racial balancing of wards seems to be expected. In the 2015 redistricting, identify majority census tracts that get redistricted (mostly) to wards where they are a minority (preferably controlled by an alderman who does not share their race). Do their menu funds decrease? Do their city services decrease?
First, count the number of such occurrences in the 2015 and by racial categories. White -> hispanic, black -> white, etc.
Then, run a Dif-in-dif study to see what happens.
Eg. a Black census tract gets redistricted to a Hispanic-controlled ward, and what happens before/after relative to adjacent tracts that remained in the original ward?