search

JohnCRuf / alderman_machine

This is the repository for a research project investigating clientelistic politics in Chicago
3 stars 2 forks source link

Re-Run DiD with Multiperiod data #6

Closed JohnCRuf closed 1 year ago

JohnCRuf commented 1 year ago

Now that data from 2005 through 2022 is almost usable, the thesis needs to re-run the original DiD and RDD analyses.

JohnCRuf commented 1 year ago

This is proving trickier than expected.

  1. The election cleaning R code is badly written. Super confusing. Need to refactor
  2. I need to collect winners and losers in data. Focusing only on incumbent vote shares loses the incumbents who lost in the general election.
  3. Furthermore, I need to create better lists of experience, retirements, and other removals from office.
JohnCRuf commented 1 year ago

Currently have obtained results for "close-runoff" filtered results. That proved easier to produce due to less hard-coding required for the treatment periods. The results are roughly in line with previous results, but are much noisier and don't die off. Need to determine if this is due to different categorical definition or what.

JohnCRuf commented 1 year ago

I think abandoning the category-based DiD is the best step here. These results are not really all that interesting and are extremely underpowered. All effort needs to be going to the geography-based DiD.