Basically, given a list of times a team has missed matches, come up with a way to randomly decide if they will make their next match. I suggest a smoothing scheme where we add 1 missed match and 11 attended matches, and then just go with the normal way of doing probability, but a smarter system would look at streaks of made/missed matches.
Basically, given a list of times a team has missed matches, come up with a way to randomly decide if they will make their next match. I suggest a smoothing scheme where we add 1 missed match and 11 attended matches, and then just go with the normal way of doing probability, but a smarter system would look at streaks of made/missed matches.