Based on weighted average calculations the algo should return 4.6% in 2022 and 9.6% in 2023.
3x Leveraged etfs win more than the bears lose on good years but lose more than the bears win on bad years.
A combo of a non leverage bear and a 1x leverage bull could see the algos bad years as flat.
Algo could also switch to a leveraged etf of the dominant side (over 20 and algo goes to a 1x lev bear, under and algo goes to 1x lev bull.
Sso (2x lev) and sh in 2023 would get 22% just beating the market but flat in 2022, also beating the markets negative return
AGAIN BASED ON WEIGHTED AVGS
Based on weighted average calculations the algo should return 4.6% in 2022 and 9.6% in 2023. 3x Leveraged etfs win more than the bears lose on good years but lose more than the bears win on bad years. A combo of a non leverage bear and a 1x leverage bull could see the algos bad years as flat. Algo could also switch to a leveraged etf of the dominant side (over 20 and algo goes to a 1x lev bear, under and algo goes to 1x lev bull.