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Joyeuse and MercKrys wrong hit distribution parsing ? #81

Open GoogleCodeExporter opened 9 years ago

GoogleCodeExporter commented 9 years ago 
What is the expected output? What do you see instead?
for Joyeuse, expected a 40%<~DA%<=~50%
for MKrys, expected 30%/50%/20% for single/DA/TA hits

What version of the product are you using? On what operating system?
1.5.12b on Vista, but parses were done on some version end of Nov.2009.

Original issue reported on code.google.com by raphael.morineau@gmail.com on 7 May 2011 at 12:02

Attachments:

GoogleCodeExporter commented 9 years ago 
Re: Joyeuse

2009-08-17_001_WARninTPgearsFortifications

Maneater/Rapier (not Joyeuse) for baseline.  Expected DA: 20% 
(trait+merits+Brutal).  Actual DA: 19.5%.  Good.

2009-08-17_002_WARninTPgearsFortifications

Maneater/Joyeuse

Parsed DA rate: 37.36%
Expected DA rate: 20% + whatever effect Joyeuse had.

554 rounds

54 rounds had 2 DAs, one of which had to be the non-Joyeuse.

With 554 rounds, the Maneater should have had ~111 DAs.  54 from the +2 rounds 
means another 57 from the +1 rounds.

There were 306 +1 rounds.  Removing 57 from Maneater leaves 249 for Joyeuse, 
plus the 54 from the +2 rounds, giving Joyeuse a total of 303 multi-attack 
rounds.

303 m-a rounds out of 554 total gives a 54.69% m-a rate.

Given the 20% DA rate, calculate the OAT rate.

20% is 111 DAs (same as Maneater), leaving 192 OAT rounds out of (554-111=443) 
rounds, or 192/443 = 43.34%.

Given the sample size, that's within the confidence interval for a 45% OAT rate.

~~ not a bug.

Original comment by Kinemati...@gmail.com on 22 Sep 2011 at 6:50

GoogleCodeExporter commented 9 years ago 
Re: MKrys

Force base hits per round to be 1.

Total rounds: 5593
+1 rounds: 3217 (57.52%)
+2 rounds: 618 (11.05%)

From weaponskill usage, player was brd. Use of Brutal unspecified (only one 
earring listed).  Subjob unspecified (/war?).

Default values do not match expectations of ~50% DA and ~20% TA.

If using Brutal, distribution modified as:

280 DA, 2937 OA2, 618 OA3
Non-DA rounds: 5313
OA2 rate: 55.28%
OA3 rate: 11.63%

If /war but no Brutal, distribution modified as:

559 DA, 2660 OA2, 618 OA3
Non-DA rounds: 5034
OA2 rate: 52.84%
OA3 rate: 12.28%

If /war with Brutal, distribution modified as:

839 DA, 2378 OA2, 618 OA3
Non-DA rounds: 4754
OA2 rate: 50.02%
OA3 rate: 13.00%

Further info needed to determine whether this is a bug.

Original comment by Kinemati...@gmail.com on 22 Sep 2011 at 7:04