Closed fjaviersanchez closed 3 years ago
Is this ready to merge? me and @nikosarcevic are playing with augur / firecrown for some forecasts and it would be great to have these updates to generate.py in master. I could review but I'm not that familar with augur - @slosar ?
Thanks @c-d-leonard! I think this is ready to go, but I'd appreciate a look before merging.
Is this ready to merge? me and @nikosarcevic are playing with augur / firecrown for some forecasts and it would be great to have these updates to generate.py in master. I could review but I'm not that familar with augur - @slosar ?
@c-d-leonard Danielle, if you could review as well that would be great. I had a quick look, but it is 10PM here and time to go to bed. But I'm super stoked to see this shit moving forward.
Thanks for taking a look @c-d-leonard and for offering to help! Yes, I also had some back and forth with the bias mismatch that you point out. I think that Tim's magic numbers correspond to 1.33/growth (which makes me think that there's a sigma8 factor missing somewhere). So your suggestion would be to just use 0.95/growth in the config, right? I think I can take care of these updates today, but if you want to take a stab at something in particular, please let me know! Thanks again!
So the bias could be 0.95/g or 1.05/g not sure, but 1.33/g is def too much (making numbers look better than they should be). What does the SRD document actually say?
The SRD says b(z) = 0.95 / G(z) for Y10 and b(z) = 1.05 / G(z) for Y1 (section D1.1, page 47). I also just checked the slack history of my chat with Tim about this and he said that the SRD values used the "unnormalised growth" which I took to mean there was an error in their calculation where the growth just didn't get normalised at all - we could probably reverse-engineer what b(z) = Num / G(z) relation that is equivalent to if we want to.
I'm happy with the way it is currently to merge in - is there anything else you want changed before merging @slosar? I feel like the issue of what are the bias values is kind of a separate question.
If it is good with Danielle it is good with me. I'll let you guys merge. On bias stuff: I've spoken to Rachel and it is known. So one of our first exercises should be to compare SRD with wrong biases vs SRD with the right biases.
I'll let Javi have to Joy of pressing merge, it always give me kicks.
This PR addresses #10 and #11, building upon #12