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MJomaba / flu-evidence-synthesis

Code for reconstructing influenza dynamics from surveillance data using evidence synthesis techniques
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Age-specific cases based on posterior distribution #53

Open gracewutw opened 7 years ago

gracewutw commented 7 years ago

For further economic evaluation, we will need to derive the number of ILI cases (something like infected cases multiply by ascertainment probability) of each age groups under different vaccine scenario. However, the current codes in the example of "full posterior distribution" only provide number of infected cases across all age groups. Is it possible to modify the codes to get age-specific infected cases and also age-specific ILI cases? Thanks!

gracewutw commented 7 years ago

Moreover, do number of infected cases include also outside infection?

BlackEdder commented 7 years ago

However, the current codes in the example of "full posterior distribution" only provide number of infected cases across all age groups. Is it possible to modify the codes to get age-specific infected cases and also age-specific ILI cases?

You can run the transmission model (either with infectionODEs or your own implementation) and sum all the columns. This will give you the total new infections by age group and risk groups

Moreover, do number of infected cases include also outside infection?

Yes