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MaREI-EPMG / tim-gas-study-2022

TIM natural gas study
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EV sales constraints #11

Open daly-h opened 1 year ago

daly-h commented 1 year ago

Please check that EV sales are not overly constrained. Expecting 13k sales in 2022 (https://stats.beepbeep.ie/) and potential for doubling each year.

olejandro commented 1 year ago

Here is how it looks in Sectoral CBs in b473030f3dd4ca5e077489f182c69216ff389222

image

daly-h commented 1 year ago

@vahid-aryanpur could you check again the 2022 sales constraints? The very high ICE car sales in 2022 is creating "unmitigated emissions" for transport in Carbon Budget 1, even in the LED scenario. Realistically there should be no more than 100k new car sales ..