Merry3750 / scorigami

This project is dedicated to tracking all scorigami throughout history and keeping the scorigami chart up to date at all times.
http://NFLScorigami.com
MIT License
52 stars 19 forks source link

Recommendation for simple addition #13

Open meteobob opened 5 years ago

meteobob commented 5 years ago

Love the page. No bug -- but here is a recommendation for a simple but I think very useful addition to the web page.

Post on the web page between the Scorigami chart and the title "This Week's Games:" the aggregate probability of a Scorigami based upon the games currently being played (and the probabilities you already calculate). Or perhaps instead right before the "Frequently asked questions" line.

For example, as of this post the ongoing game probabilities are:

7.91% 0.75% 0.00% 0.00% 0.21% 0.07% 0.00% 1.47% 0.45%

Accordingly, the aggregate probability of a Scorigami for at least one of these games is (if they are independent events):

1-(1-0.0791)(1-0.0075)(1-0)(1-0)(1-0.0021)(1-0.0007)(1-0)(1-0.0147)(1-0.0045)

=0.106

=10.6%

Would make for a nice aggregate summary of everything going on.

Thanks again for the page.

Bob