Metaculus / metaculus

https://www.metaculus.com
BSD 2-Clause "Simplified" License
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Labeling of data in multiple components distributions #1266

Open nicobaga opened 2 weeks ago

nicobaga commented 2 weeks ago

Current behavior

When predicting a continuous question using multiple distribution components it can be complex to fine-tune the cumulative prediction. One problem is the lack of information regarding individual components.

Screenshot 2024-11-05 134754

Expected/desired behavior

Here are a few suggestions on how to improve the system:

SylvainChevalier commented 2 weeks ago

@aseckin thoughts on using the new binary slider designs? image The numbers in the big sliders are in the question's scale.

lsabor commented 2 weeks ago

I love this, the problem I can see is that the slider doesn't actually correspond to any quartiles, so people will be extra confused thinking that the value on the center slider is their median while the chart below disagrees...

lsabor commented 2 weeks ago

Also, there would be a spacing issue for date questions.