Metaculus / metaculus

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CP shouldn't be populated on numeric questions until there are forecasts #520

Open hickman-santini opened 5 days ago

hickman-santini commented 5 days ago

Current behavior

When you create a numeric question you have this blank space where the graph would be, and when you mouse-over that empty space you get "P(x=?): 0.000 (community)" message. And in not-submitted numeric group questions, a CP is visible when it shouldn't be.

Reported by skmmcj who provided this screenshot

image

My screen recording from non-group numeric question:

https://github.com/user-attachments/assets/7a4ab7c7-fbc9-4c96-b0f5-1c0eed49c465

Expected/desired behavior

  1. There shouldn't be a "default" CP. If there are no forecasts it should just show ... (as opposed to the 100s) like "My Prediction" (do you agree @SylvainChevalier). 100 is the max selected my the question creator.
  2. I think the mouse-over behavior is probably fine actually.

Another screenshot for good measure; here 80 was my max. There's also something weird in the bottom left corner of the graph but I'm not fussed about it. image

hickman-santini commented 5 days ago

On second thought, this might just be the desired behavior... @SylvainChevalier can you comment and mark this approved if you think it's worth changing.

SylvainChevalier commented 4 days ago

Ideal would be to have empty pdf graph, with the x axis for visually checking the question scale. No hover state. All "..." in the table. image If the graph is annoying to get, just the table with all "..." is ok.