Data Name (This will be the displayed title in Catalog)
Fish Productivity Indicators
Indicator Name (as exists in ecodata)
productivity_anomaly
Family (Which group is this indicator associated with?)
[ ] Oceanographic
[ ] Habitat
[ ] Lower trophic levels
[X] Megafauna
[ ] Social
[ ] Economic
Data Description
Amount of small fish produced per large fish biomass over time
Introduction to Indicator (Please explain your indicator)
The amount of young fish produced by a population tells us both about the health of individual populations and about the productivity throughout the ecosystem when we look across multiple stocks. This has implications for both managing fisheries (lower productivity often leads to lower harvest) and for other components of the ecosystem.
These indicators are based on the work of Perretti [@perretti_regime_2017]. We updated the data used in that analysis to describe patterns of aggregate fish productivity in the Mid-Atlantic, Georges Bank, and Gulf of Maine by evaluating changes in reproductive output relative to adult population size across multiple stocks. Both survey information and stock assessment information is used in separate indicators.
Key Results and Visualization
The small fish per large fish anomaly indicator, derived from NEFSC bottom trawl survey data, shows that productivity has been declining in the Mid-Atlantic region since 2010. A similar analysis based on stock assessment model outputs (recruitment per spawning stock biomass anomaly) for stocks primarily inhabiting the Mid-Atlantic region also shows a decline in productivity. The indicators show great variability in the Gulf of Maine and Georges Bank, with both regions being below average for much of the past decade.
Implications
The apparent decline in productivity across multiple managed species in the MAB, along with mixed fish conditions in 2022, also suggest changing ecosystem productivity at multiple levels. During the 1990s high relative abundance of smaller bodied copepods and a lower relative abundance of Calanus finmarchicus was associated with regime shifts to higher fish recruitment [@perretti_regime_2017]. The unprecedented climate signals along with the trends toward lower productivity across multiple managed species indicate a need to continually evaluate whether management reference points remain appropriate, and to evaluate if ecosystem regime shifts have occurred or reorganization is in progress.
Spatial Scale
No response
Temporal Scale
No response
Synthesis Theme
[X] Multiple System Drivers
[ ] Regime Shifts
[ ] Ecosystem Reorganization
Define Variables
Variable names are organized using this format:
[region] stock name - variable type and source
Variables ending with "_Survey" are survey derived recruits/spawner anomalies
Variables ending with "-Assessment" are assessment derived quantities
Survey stock names are in ALL CAPS
NE LME prepended to a survey stock name means the anomalies are coastwide
Assessment stock names are in Sentence case
Units for survey variables are the Z score of (number of recruits in year+1/biomass of adults in year)
Units for plotted assessment variables are the Z score of (numbers of recruits per kg spawning biomass with recruits aligned to spawning biomass year using age at recruitment)
Other variables are available in the assessment derived dataset but are not plotted. To be added later.
Indicator Category
[X] Published Methods
[ ] Extensive analysis, not yet published
[ ] Syntheses of published information
[ ] Database pull
[ ] Database pull with analysis
[ ] Other
If other, please specify indicator category
No response
Data Contributors
Sarah Gaichas, Andy Beet, Kimberly Bastille, Sean Lucey, and Charles Perretti.
andybeet
commented
4 months ago
Primary Contact
Sarah.Gaichas@noaa.gov
Secondary Contact
No response
Data Name (This will be the displayed title in Catalog)
Fish Productivity Indicators
Indicator Name (as exists in ecodata)
productivity_anomaly
Family (Which group is this indicator associated with?)
Data Description
Amount of small fish produced per large fish biomass over time
Introduction to Indicator (Please explain your indicator)
The amount of young fish produced by a population tells us both about the health of individual populations and about the productivity throughout the ecosystem when we look across multiple stocks. This has implications for both managing fisheries (lower productivity often leads to lower harvest) and for other components of the ecosystem.
These indicators are based on the work of Perretti [@perretti_regime_2017]. We updated the data used in that analysis to describe patterns of aggregate fish productivity in the Mid-Atlantic, Georges Bank, and Gulf of Maine by evaluating changes in reproductive output relative to adult population size across multiple stocks. Both survey information and stock assessment information is used in separate indicators.
Key Results and Visualization
The small fish per large fish anomaly indicator, derived from NEFSC bottom trawl survey data, shows that productivity has been declining in the Mid-Atlantic region since 2010. A similar analysis based on stock assessment model outputs (recruitment per spawning stock biomass anomaly) for stocks primarily inhabiting the Mid-Atlantic region also shows a decline in productivity. The indicators show great variability in the Gulf of Maine and Georges Bank, with both regions being below average for much of the past decade.
Implications
The apparent decline in productivity across multiple managed species in the MAB, along with mixed fish conditions in 2022, also suggest changing ecosystem productivity at multiple levels. During the 1990s high relative abundance of smaller bodied copepods and a lower relative abundance of Calanus finmarchicus was associated with regime shifts to higher fish recruitment [@perretti_regime_2017]. The unprecedented climate signals along with the trends toward lower productivity across multiple managed species indicate a need to continually evaluate whether management reference points remain appropriate, and to evaluate if ecosystem regime shifts have occurred or reorganization is in progress.
Spatial Scale
No response
Temporal Scale
No response
Synthesis Theme
Define Variables
Variable names are organized using this format: [region] stock name - variable type and source
Variables ending with "_Survey" are survey derived recruits/spawner anomalies Variables ending with "-Assessment" are assessment derived quantities Survey stock names are in ALL CAPS NE LME prepended to a survey stock name means the anomalies are coastwide Assessment stock names are in Sentence case
Units for survey variables are the Z score of (number of recruits in year+1/biomass of adults in year) Units for plotted assessment variables are the Z score of (numbers of recruits per kg spawning biomass with recruits aligned to spawning biomass year using age at recruitment) Other variables are available in the assessment derived dataset but are not plotted. To be added later.
Indicator Category
If other, please specify indicator category
No response
Data Contributors
Sarah Gaichas, Andy Beet, Kimberly Bastille, Sean Lucey, and Charles Perretti.
Point(s) of Contact
Sarah.Gaichas@noaa.gov
Affiliation
NEFSC
Public Availability
Source data are publicly available.
Accessibility and Constraints
No response