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NOAA-EDAB / catalog

repo organizing all of the synthetic indicator catalog
https://NOAA-EDAB.github.io/catalog/
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[Submission]: Timing shifts #99

Open khyde opened 9 months ago

khyde commented 9 months ago

Primary Contact

nefsc.soe.leads@noaa.gov

Secondary Contact

kimberly.hyde@noaa.gov

Data Name (This will be the displayed title in Catalog)

Timing shifts: Risks to Seasonal Management

Indicator Name (as exists in ecodata)

timing_shifts

Family (Which group is this indicator associated with?)

Data Description

Shifts in the timing of life-cycle events are a risk to meeting seasonal and temporal management objectives.

Introduction to Indicator (Please explain your indicator)

Changes in phenology, the seasonal timing of recurring life-cycle events, are a primary indicator of species responses to climate change @staudinger_its_2019. Observed phenological changes in the Northeast Shelf include shifts in spawning, migration @crear_climate-influenced_2023, prey availability, and seasonal phytoplankton bloom timing. Changes in the timing of physical drivers such as the onset of stratification and fall turnover timing directly and indirectly affect life-cycle events. The phenological responses are often species-specific and vary depending on the primary environmental driver @staudinger_its_2019.

Key Results and Visualization

Migration timing of some tuna and large whale species has also changed. For example, tuna were caught in recreational fisheries 50 days earlier in the year in 2019 compared to 2002. [@crear_climate-influenced_2023]

In Cape Cod Bay, peak spring habitat use by right and humpback whales has shifted 18-19 days later over time. [@pendleton_decadal-scale_2022]

Prolonged fall temperatures have been linked to the increased number of cold-stunned Kemp’s ridley sea turtles found in Cape Cod Bay [@griffin_warming_2019]

Implications

Changes in phenology are key indicators of the effects of climate change on ecosystems and well documented in terrestrial ecosystems @cohen_global_2018. Trends in phenology are often not homogenous due to high variability in climate drivers and phenological responses @okeefe_forming_2013. Phenological changes are less well documented in marine ecosystems, but there are clear, documented shifts in the timing of seasonal marine abiotic factors including earlier transitions from winter to spring temperatures in the Northeast Continental Shelf @friedland_changes_2020; @thomas_seasonal_2017. Lower trophic levels, phytoplankton and zooplankton, are able to quickly adapt to abiotic changes, which can lead to a mismatch with consumers and alter the food web structure. Differential shifts in phenology can drive population declines through increased predation or competition and/or declines in reproductive success @weiskopf_climate_2020

From a management perspective, changes in species-specific phenology can alterfishery interactions and bycatch, as well as reduce the effectiveness of time/area closures to protect sensitive seasonal processes such as spawning. Highly migratory species are susceptible to incidental catch in a large number of fisheries using a variety of fishing gears @okeefe_forming_2013, and changes in migration timing may increase these unintended interactions if seasonal measures do not adjust to these changes.

Spatial Scale

NES

Temporal Scale

Seasonal

Synthesis Theme

Define Variables

NA

Indicator Category

If other, please specify indicator category

No response

Data Contributors

Kimberly Hyde, Sarah Gaichas, Joe Carracappa

Point(s) of Contact

nefsc.soe.leads@noaa.gov

Affiliation

NEFSC

Public Availability

Source data are publicly available.

Accessibility and Constraints

No response

andybeet commented 9 months ago

@BBeltz1 This submission needs to be given an "indicator name"

andybeet commented 9 months ago
khyde commented 8 months ago

@BBeltz1 I updated the text for the Timing chapter. All of the references are in the SOE Zotera with the exception of the O'Keefe et al., 2013. I don't know where that came from. You may need to double check that the citations and hyperlinks come through properly. I also didn't know exactly how you wanted to cite/link to other sections in the catalog.

khyde commented 8 months ago

I think I found the O'Keefe reference. Assuming this is the correct one, I added it to the SOE Zotera.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/03632415.2013.838122

andybeet commented 8 months ago

@khyde ok. We dont cite references like this in the issues. You can take a look at how it is done by viewing any other issue (For example). We use the zotero tag id as found in the bib file (in this repo ). If the publication is listed then all that is needed is @tagname. The formatting will be taken care of automatically when the catalog is built. This issue will need to be re-edited. I will make sure all of the references exist in zotero then can you add them?

andybeet commented 8 months ago

Actually it'll be easier if i re edit since all the references are in the bib file on another branch

khyde commented 8 months ago

Thanks Andy. I just copied and pasted from a Google doc and that is how they showed up in the issue. I'm still learning this formatting.

khyde commented 6 months ago

An interesting cod spawning phenology paper from the Norwegian Sea. I dropped the reference into Zotero. I'm not sure where the best place to share this type of info is, but I thought since it was specific to this catalog page I would drop it here for now.