The Base predictions and Reconciliation sections don't have a complete explanation of the hierarchical reconciliation methodology. Ideas to improve those sections:
Base predictions:
Define what we mean by "base predictions".
Use a different model. By construction, the Naive model is coherent, so this model does not well motivate the use of hierarchical reconciliation. In particular, RandomWalkWithDrift could work.
Reconciliation
Show that the base forecasts are not coherent, using plot_hierarchical_predictions_gap (fix #85 first).
Explain the methods used for reconciliation. In this case, the explanation for BottomUp is missing.
Thank you for raising this one, I just noticed the same thing. Some difference between the Naive and the Naive/Bottum Up forecasts would be more illustrative.
The
Base predictions
andReconciliation
sections don't have a complete explanation of the hierarchical reconciliation methodology. Ideas to improve those sections:Base predictions:
Naive
model is coherent, so this model does not well motivate the use of hierarchical reconciliation. In particular,RandomWalkWithDrift
could work.Reconciliation
plot_hierarchical_predictions_gap
(fix #85 first).