Demand projections

[abhishek0208]

Electricity demand by node (SpecifiedAnnualDemand) is currently constant. Future electricity demand will be projected based on factors such as population, GDP/capita, and urbanisation.

[maartenbrinkerink]

Working on it as we speak, will come with an update on Thursday.

[maartenbrinkerink]

I've updated OPG_demand_projection which for now is something we can work with. That said there are still plenty of aspects that need to be reassessed;

• Urbanization as variable (vs electricity demand) shows in a lot of cases to be exponential rather than linear.
• Electrification and decoupling not taken into account in demand forecast.
• Electricity demand increases linearly but at some point you expect saturation to occur even if GDP would grow further, not taken into account currently.

[maartenbrinkerink]

I've made some updates in the demand projection externally and will include these in the coming week(s) within the OPG_demand_projection.py script.

[maartenbrinkerink]

Demand projections for the standard nodes are fully functional. Users have the ability to add in their own load data if required. There are still improvements to be made in the demand projections but is not a priority at the moment. Closing this issue accordingly.

[trevorb1]

@maartenbrinkerink did you run the workflow to confirm that demand projections were working? Recently (within the past couple weeks) @SimoneOseiOwusu and I ran into an issue where the world bank API calls were failing through the world_bank_data package. The issue ended up being that the API call is using http rather than https. We manually fixed it in our case. Did you run inot this same issue?

I agree, it does not belong in this issue ticket, just curious if you had the same issue?

[maartenbrinkerink]

@trevorb1 I have not but am willing to give that a go tomorrow, will reopen the issue for the time being until I checked that out.