OSeMOSYS / osemosys_global

A global power system model generator for OSeMOSYS
https://osemosys-global.readthedocs.io/
GNU Affero General Public License v3.0
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Beta demand projection #18

Closed maartenbrinkerink closed 4 years ago

maartenbrinkerink commented 4 years ago

Uses historical demand/GDP|PPP & or Urbanization trends based on world bank data for linear regression -Projects country-level demand by making use of SSP GDP|PPP, Population and Urbanization data -Projected demand downscaled to sub-country level by using relative 2015 PLEXOS World demand data as proxy -Urbanization can be in/excluded in the linear regression -Inclusion of urbanization indicates a better fit Improvements to be made; -Outlier removal -Linear regression based on regional values can lead to <0 values for certain countries